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Gold Surges 27% This Year!

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In recent market developments, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the world’s largest gold exchange-traded fund (ETF), has experienced significant fluctuations, indicative of the dynamic nature of gold investmentsOn December 20, the trust saw an inflow of 16.66 tons, marking the largest increase in holdings for the yearFollowing this surge, however, a reduction of 3.45 tons was reported on December 23, bringing the total holdings down to 873.95 tonsSuch volatility in the gold ETF space highlights the increasing interest among investors as gold prices have soared this year.

The year has been a remarkable one for gold, witnessing price climbs exceeding 35% at its peak and consistently hitting historical highsAs it stands, the spot gold price has recorded a year-to-date gain of about 27%, solidifying its status as one of the year's top-performing assets

Investors and analysts alike have taken note of gold’s remarkable trajectory, often prompted by a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, and shifts in monetary policy.

This trend is driving several gold companies to pursue initial public offerings (IPOs) in Hong Kong, which has become a hub for such activities amidst the flourishing gold marketThis past Tuesday, gold prices nudged upward to around 2,620 USD per ounceThe rise in prices was influenced significantly by lower-than-expected personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data from the United States, which, while not sufficiently low to deter the Federal Reserve from pausing interest rate cuts in January 2025, has contributed to a "dovish" outlook among traders.

Currently, the U.S

dollar index remains elevated at approximately 108 points, reflecting the strength of the dollar which plays a crucial role in gold pricing dynamicsAnalysts, such as FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani, have noted how the demand for gold has been further enhanced by its safe-haven appeal stemming from ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine, as well as strife in the Middle EastWhile political instability fuels demand for gold, it is equally critical to monitor U.SFederal Reserve policy, as their hawkish stance tends to correlate with rising U.STreasury yields, which can curtail gold's upward momentum.

As traders await the release of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index, which could provide short-term impetus for gold prices, investments in gold remain a focal point for financial analysis

Lin Rong, a seasoned gold investor with 17 years of experience, reflects the sentiment of many in the market: "The surge in gold this year surpasses most expectations, driven largely by capital flowsIn the short term, it’s challenging to ascertain the market’s direction as prices are high, and fluctuations are expectedYet, in the medium to long term, I believe that continued interest rate cuts from the Fed will leave room for further gold price increases."

The notable performance of gold has precipitated a wave of IPOs from various gold resource firmsRecently, the announcement went public regarding the overseas issuance by Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., LtdThe company plans to issue no more than 338 million overseas ordinary shares and aims to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange

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Following the completion of its overseas issuance, the company has 15 working days to report on the issuance and listing status through a regulatory information systemThese companies are strictly adhering to relevant laws and regulations throughout the process of their overseas listings.

Moreover, if Chifeng Gold does not complete its overseas issuance within 12 months of the notice being issued, it must update its filing materials to continue the listing processCompliance with Hong Kong Stock Exchange listing rules requires an issuer to submit a notification at least four business days before the hearing date, ensuring that Chifeng Gold has cleared a major hurdle for its planned listing.

In a similar vein, Mokingran Jewellery Group Co., Ltd

made waves by being among the first to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 29. This IPO involved a global issuance of nearly 44 million H shares, accounting for 16.1% of the total post-issuance company sharesPriced at a lower limit of HKD 12.00 per share, the offering raised approximately HKD 527 million, netting around HKD 452 million after deductionsThe public offering was met with an oversubscription of 20.58 times, demonstrating robust investor appetite.

Earlier in June of this year, Laopu Gold successfully made its debut on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its shares priced at HKD 40.50. The shares closed up significantly on the first day of trading, reflecting strong investor interest as the market continues to react favorably to gold's stellar performance.

Looking ahead, many institutions remain optimistic about gold's performance in the coming year

According to a recent research report from Citic Securities, macroeconomic factors such as fiscal policy and inflation will be key areas to monitor in relation to gold performance through 2025. The firm notes that the backdrop of ongoing U.Sfiscal stabilization may not necessarily propel gold prices upward, and that continuous observation of fiscal expansion is essentialOverall, it seems that the gold market has not yet reached its peak, and oscillating price levels around 2,800 USD per ounce are anticipated.

Analyst Liu Shiyao from the Tianfeng Futures Research Institute shares this bullish sentiment, suggesting that the macroeconomic environment is favorable for gold prices over the next yearShe emphasizes that two key logical underpinnings will continue to bolster gold's priceHowever, she cautions that should monetary policies tighten or hawkish fiscal adjustments be implemented, gold could face substantial retracement risks

Nevertheless, she suggests that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve proactively curbing inflation remains low, leading to limited downside exposure for gold prices.

Goldman's upbeat outlook for gold has garnered attention in recent financial discussionsThe investment bank recently published a report forecasting that due to central bank demand and anticipated U.Sinterest rate cuts, gold prices are expected to reach record levels next yearGoldman has designated gold as its top commodity trading choice for 2025, projecting prices may continue an upward trajectoryAnalyst Daan Struyven emphasized, “Buy gold,” asserting that the target price for gold may exceed 3,000 USD per ounce by December 2025. Such bullish forecasts are contributing to an overall positive narrative around gold investment.

Furthermore, investment mogul Jeffrey Gundlach has lent his support to the gold narrative, indicating that positions in gold and Bitcoin could see continued growth, and that both assets may experience sideways fluctuations in the near term

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